From ted at w8kvk.com  Mon May 28 06:24:37 2018
From: ted at w8kvk.com (Ted Jacobson)
Date: Mon, 28 May 2018 06:24:37 -0400
Subject: Hazardous Weather Potential
Message-ID: <00aaf16324a4a2a4660a9223aa639a4d.squirrel@w8kvk.com>

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
402 AM EDT Mon May 28 2018

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms with heavy downpours will be possible today.
There is some potential for localized flash flooding due to
saturated soils in some areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms with heavy downpours expected
with the remnants of Alberto through the middle of the week.
Flash flooding will be possible.

Current Subtropical Storm Alberto information:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Alberto

Athens OH 7-Day Forecast (updates 4-5 times daily):
http://climate.athens.oh.us/Athens-7Day/

..SYNOPSIS...

Showers and storms expected across parts of the region again today,
with localized flash flooding possible. The remnants of Subtropical
Storm Alberto passes west of our region through the middle of the
week. Expect showers and storms across the area, with heavy downpours
and potential flash flooding. Additional showers and storms are
expected with an upper level system through the end of the week.

.SHORT TERM TECHNICAL DISCUSSION
.TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
.As of 350 AM Monday...

What is left of Alberto will track northward and west of the
Tuesday through Wednesday. Although the system tracks west of
the area, very moist air still advects into the region. Latest
00Z GEFS shows PWAT anomaly of 3 to 4 standard deviations, with
values near 2 inches on Wednesday. Forecast soundings are
strongly suggesting deep moist convection will be possible with
efficient warm rain processes. Confidence in where and how
widespread convection may be is still quite low at this time,
but can`t ignore these favorable ingredients increasing flash
flooding potential through the middle of the week. At this time,
will introduce the flood threat to the HWO...especially with the
wet antecedent conditions across parts of the region already.

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The "StormFlood" Listserv is a regional preparedness and planning
partnership including Ohio University Risk Management and Safety.
http://www.ohio.edu/riskandsafety/

Affiliated web services:

Southeast Ohio Flood Potential Monitoring page:
http://seorf.ohiou.edu/xx073/floodprep.html

Athens Co. OH Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network:
http://climate.athens.oh.us/oh-at/

Athens Ohio Climatological Data Archive:
http://climate.athens.oh.us/

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