Hazardous Weather Potential

[Ted Jacobson]

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
325 AM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT...
MAINLY FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.  THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE
DAMAGING WIND.  ("Slight Risk" Category description below)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

Maps, Graphics, Technical Discussion:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/

Athens OH 7-Day Forecast (updates 4-5 times daily):
http://climate.athens.oh.us/Athens-7Day/

...DISCUSSION...

VERY WARM AND HUMID AIR IS HERE TO STAY. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL MOVE UP FROM THE SOUTH THIS MORNING...LIKELY PROVIDING A WET
START TO THE DAY FOR SOME ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
AND WE ST VIRGINIA.  ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COMING FROM THE
WEST WILL CROSS TONIGHT...WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDDLE OHIO
VALLEY LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING COULD BECOME QUITE STRO NG.
THE WARM...HUMID...AND STORMY PATTERN LOOKS TO CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF
THE WEEK.

----[ Severe Storm 'Risk Categories' ]-------------------------

For Day 1, the "Slight Risk" category means:
 - 5% tornado probability, or
 - 15% severe hail or severe wind probability WITH OR WITHOUT
   10% or greater probability of hail 2 inches or greater in diameter,
   or wind gusts 75 mph or greater.

Categories Details: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/dy1-3example/

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Affiliated web services:

Southeast Ohio Flood Potential Monitoring page:
http://seorf.ohiou.edu/xx073/floodprep.html

Athens Co. OH Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network:
http://climate.athens.oh.us/oh-at/

Athens Ohio Climatological Data Archive (7/2002-3/2012):
http://climate.athens.oh.us/

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